China's photovoltaic industry, which has been hit by the EU's "double opposition" measures, is finally seeing some positive news. On July 15, the Chinese government website announced the "Several Opinions of the State Council on Promoting the Healthy Development of the Photovoltaic Industry," commonly referred to as the "Opinions." The policy outlines that from 2013 to 2015, the average annual new photovoltaic capacity will be around 10 GW, with a total installed capacity exceeding 35 GW by 2015—marking a 70% increase compared to the target set in the National Energy Administration’s 2012 "Twelfth Five-Year Plan for Solar Power Development."
This favorable policy has already sparked excitement in the market. On July 16, the U.S. solar panel market saw a sharp rise, signaling a potential recovery for Chinese PV companies. However, challenges remain. By 2015, China is still facing a funding gap of over 50 billion yuan for renewable energy subsidies. Amid the growing interest in photovoltaics, distributed generation projects have become a major focus, with various regions launching subsidy wars to attract investment.
The "National Six" policy, introduced a month earlier, emphasized the importance of distributed photovoltaic power generation. At a State Council meeting in mid-June, Premier Li Keqiang urged expanding the application of distributed solar systems. Grid companies were instructed to ensure that grid infrastructure and solar projects are built simultaneously and operate efficiently, with priority given to solar power generation and full purchase of electricity generated.
Industry leaders welcomed the policy, noting that the 20-year tariff and subsidy period provides long-term investment confidence. A company executive from Jiangxi, who focuses on photovoltaic modules and power stations, mentioned that due to the EU's anti-dumping cases, their projects in Turkey had stalled, pushing them to focus more on the domestic market.
With clear subsidy expectations, developers can even securitize assets to manage investment risks. Unlike the previous "Golden Sun" model, the new policy introduces a "subsidy-by-degree" approach. Experts suggest that the official subsidy rate may soon be released, potentially increasing from 0.35 to 0.45 yuan per kWh.
At the Shanghai PV Exhibition, Wang Zhongying from the National Development and Reform Commission’s Energy Research Institute highlighted that discussions on distributed electricity pricing are ongoing. Proposed subsidies include 0.2 yuan/kWh for industrial users, 0.4 yuan/kWh for large-scale industries, and 0.6 yuan/kWh for households, schools, and rural areas.
Despite the progress, the industry faces challenges. While the policy encourages distributed energy, many companies struggle with high costs and technical barriers. Some firms may not meet the efficiency standards required for new projects, which could lead to their exclusion from the market.
Distributed energy has become a top priority in China's energy strategy. The "Twelfth Five-Year Plan for Energy Development" emphasizes the need for about 1,000 natural gas-based distributed energy projects by 2015. Industry experts argue that distributed energy offers multiple benefits, including energy efficiency, environmental protection, and security. However, current development remains limited due to geographical, cost, and technical constraints.
In response, several companies, including Xinao Group and Schneider, are actively investing in distributed energy solutions. The Qingdao Sino-German Ecological Park recently hosted a conference discussing the integration of Pan-Energy Network Technology, aiming to create a more stable and efficient energy system.
Finally, while the policy environment is improving, the subsidy system remains a key challenge. With a projected funding gap of over 50 billion yuan, local governments are stepping in with their own subsidy programs. For example, Jiaxing City offers up to 2.8 yuan/kWh for distributed projects, with subsidies decreasing annually. These initiatives are driving rapid growth, with many companies expecting returns within 5 to 6 years.
To fully realize the potential of distributed energy, the government must continue refining policies, offering tax incentives, and encouraging grid companies to support this promising sector.
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